Baby Bust

Once upon a time it was thought that thewas coming in."
inauguration of President Obama would lead to aThe birth rate in 2007 broke a 50 year old record
brighter future for the U.S. and an increase in thehigh but declined approximately 2% in all but 10
birth of babies, but that has not been the case. Instates in 2008 according to last week's National
fact, the birth rate declined in 2008, the firstVital Statistics Provisional Data Report for 2008.
annual decline since the start of the decade and allThe relatively unaffected states were less
indicators show the decline may continue throughseverely affected by the recession. In the first
2009. "Births are now predominantly planned andthree months of 2009, births declined 7% in
not very responsive to good news," according toFlorida and Arizona and 2.6% in California, its first
University of Chicago demographer anddecline since 2001. One might also contend that
sociologist, Donald Bogue. This may help explaincouples are waiting longer to get married and
why the Obama baby boom never developed.start families and that the current child producing
Not surprisingly, the economy can certainly bepopulation is more centered on "me" than on "we".
blamed for Americans having fewer babies. If youData from 2009 will be critical when considering
are uncertain about the future, having a child isthe start date of the current recession to be in
viewed as a bad idea, especially given the amountDecember 2007 or early 2008. Given that the
of money needed to raise and educate a childstate of the economy is much worse than that
through to adulthood. With college prices soaringof the 1970s, all measures and indicators point to
and a degree becoming a necessity in the hiringa birth rate decline. However, Mark Mather,
process, the average cost to raise a child born indemographer with the Population Reference
2009 will total $266,698. That figure includes aBureau has also suggested that the recent decline
four year college degree from a public universityin immigration to the U.S. may be a contributing
averaging $12,796 annually and a cost of $11,973factor as well. It will certainly be interesting to see
for the child's first year of life.the official vital statistics data once 2009 comes
The rate of Birth Announcements has historicallyto an end.
changed with the economy. Record low birthAlthough our new President did not spark an
rates were reported during the Depression of theupswing in births, it is interesting to note that the
1930s and during the oil embargo of the 1970sname Barack for new babies set a record on the
when feminism was also on the rise and birthSocial Security Administration's annual Most
control options expanded. In the 1970s thePopular Baby Names list by shooting up more
economy almost dictated that there are twothan 10,000 spots. It went from number 12,535 in
wage earners in a family. Stephanie Coontz, a2007 to number 2,409 in 2008 with projections
professor at Evergreen State College in Olympia,for it to hit the top 1,000 this year.
Washington, and research director for the CouncilSo if you are one of the fortunate to receive
on Contemporary Families, a research andBaptism Invitations or Christening Invitations in the
advocacy group said, "More than 80 percent ofmail, know that in the year ahead we may well
the job losses in this recession have been bornesee a sharp decline in Baby Birth Announcements
by men. There are a lot of families where aas we await the official birth rate figures for 2009
maternity leave would mean that no income at alland projections for 2010.